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    Mining Precious Gems

    Page 2
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      tocks t hat actual y w

      arrant a

      ttention a

      nd

      the priority of focus.

      There are innumerable number of books, articles, blogs, videos available

      on the internet t hat claim t o and m

      ight even give y

      ou t he n

      irvanic w

      isdom i n

      this area. Rather than going through the motions re-churning the same

      (aka ‘reinventing the wheel’), I am going to highlight some of the good

      books and/or articles that I recommend in t his s

      pace a

      nd s

      ome o

      f t he more

      useful items/topics/criteria that need comprehensive focus and

      understanding while you go through the material.

      First up, here are some of the keywords, key c

      oncepts a

      nd k

      ey c

      riteria t hat

      needs focussed understanding. There are many more, it can be cal ed an

      ‘ocean in itself’, but nevertheless, it is always good to keep a handy set of

      core-criteria​ which are fit for purpose.

      Key Criteria Set - the ‘must know’ list!

      Note: Once more, ‘what, which, when, how, why’ are our friends.

      ● What is it?

      ● Which qualification (genre) it fal s under?

      ● How is it used/valued?

      ● When is it used in terms of context?

      ● Why is it important?

      Books

      Note: (** Book excerpts are the summary of books from books.google.com)

      ​ Fundamental Analysis for investors - Raghu Palat

      ​ “Fundamental analysis is an essential, core skil in an investor's tool-kit for

      evaluating a company on the basis of its track record: sales, earnings,

      dividends, products, management, etc., as wel as the economic and industry

      outlook. It is a value-based approach to stock market investing solid and

      prudent that typical y offers handsome profits to the long-term investor. Raghu

      Palat's book wil help you master the essentials of fundamental analysis. It

      clearly explains, with il ustrations, al the analytical tools of economic, industry

      and company analysis, including ratios and cash flow. It shows you how to

      judge a company's management and its products, and discover what actual y

      lies behind the figures and notes in a company's annual report. And, how to

      calculate the intrinsic value of a share.”

      One Up On Wall Street: How to Use What You Already Know to Make

      Money in the Market - Peter Lynch

      “Penned by the famous mutual-fund manager, Peter Lynch, this book elaborates

      the many advantages that an average investor has over professionals and how

      they can help them reach financial triumph”

      The Five Rules for successful stock investing - Pat Dorsey

      “Written by Morningstar's Director of Stock Analysis, Pat Dorsey, The Five

      Rules for Successful Stock Investing includes unparal eled stock research

      and investment strategies covering a wide range of stock-related topics.

      Investors wil profit from such tips as:

      * How to dig into a financial statement and find hidden gold . . . and

      deception

      * How to find great companies that wil create shareholder wealth

      * How to analyze every corner of the market, from banks to health care”

      How to Avoid loss and earn consistently in the stock market -

      Prasenjit Paul

      “Investing in high-quality business (stock) at the right price and holding them

      for a reasonable period is the only way for wealth creation.Written in an

      easy-to-understand and simple language, this book wil guide you on how to

      select fundamental y strong business, when to buy and sel stocks and above

      al how to minimize or avoid loss in the stock market”

      Everything you wanted to know about Stock market investing -

      TV18 broadcast

      “From financial planning and the impact of inflation on investments, from

      equity investing strategies like top-down and bottom-up investing etc to risk

      mitigation measures like value averaging, using market volatility, this book

      makes your knowledge on investing in stocks holistic.

      “Everything you wanted to know about Stock Market Investing” also goes

      beyond just explaining how markets work. With practical tips and

      il ustrations, axioms, action points and test questions it prepares you for

      your practical journey into the world of stocks.

      The book not only helps the investor comprehend the nuances of equity

      investing for wealth buildup, it also helps the investor understand macroeconomic aspects and their

      impact on businesses, how to respond in times of panic, how to avoid being the victim of stock market scams, and final y, how to compute equity investment returns before and after tax”

      Tutorials

      Zerodha Varsity - ​https://zerodha.com/varsity/

      ● https://zerodha.com/varsity/module/introduction-to-stock-markets/

      ● https://zerodha.com/varsity/module/fundamental-analysis/

      Investopedia - ​https://www.investopedia.com/university/

      ● https://www.investopedia.com/university/fundamentalanalysis/

      ● https://www.investopedia.com/university/al /fundamental-analysis/

      =========================================================

      Apart from the above there are innumerable number of video trainings that

      you can search and dig out from sites like YouTube etc which a

      re free a

      nd

      on MOOC sites like Udemy at a nominal cost. These wil cover a range o

      f

      fundamental and foundational aspects of Stocks, Equities and Investing in

      general.

      Unless you are a person who absolutely detests ​ text based learning and

      prefers video as a medium, I would urge you to use the above tutorials /

      books as a basis to build a solid foundation for screening.

      As a caveat, I find that m

      any o

      f the f ree v

      ideos a

      vailable o

      n t he i nternet a

      re

      many times incomplete, incorrect, misleading while not c

      onveying a

      h

      olistic

      end-to-end perspective in a way that the above books et al. do so

      effectively.

      Customizing screener.in

      In the previous chapters, we looked at t he b

      asic S

      creener.in a

      spects -

      user

      registration, logging in and basic views.

      Armed with enough fundamental foundational knowledge now, (you have

      gone through some of the material mentioned in the previous chapter,

      haven’t you!!!!), let us look at customizing screener.in for better effect.

      By default, when you log into screener.in and search for a stock, you get

      something like this:

      We see some baseline fundamental parameters on the displayed stock

      details. Things like Market Cap, Book Value, Price, P/E, ROCE, ROE etc

      show up. While these are obviously key point in time parameters of

      importance, there are many others that can be configured to display. With

      those showing u

      p, w

      e w

      ould h

      ave a

      m

      ore comprehensive h

      olistic f eel o

      f t h
    e

      stock valuation.

      Steps to Configure and Customize

      Use the ‘Add Quick Ratio’ option (see the snip ahead) - just type what you

      want in it to configure.

      (Look at the same result now with ‘Debt to Equity’ parameter added via

      ‘Add Quick Ratio’ option - this parameter was not present in the previous

      default snip view)

      I am sure you the reader are now asking yourself - what are the available

      options? Is there a list ? Yes, there is -

      Go to screener.in main page and look at the bottom of the page below the

      ‘create a custom query’ box on the right side, you wil see an option

      “Show All Ratios”

      Clicking on the Show Al Ratios wil launch the Ratio Gal ery that has the

      list of al options categorised per the fundamental characteristic they fal

      under.

      So - now is the time to map your fundamental analysis knowledge to the

      real world application of the same.

      If you have gone through the

      book/tutorial materials in the previous chapter, you would have lined up a

      dozen or two of criteria that matters most with what your goals are in the

      stock market. If you haven’t done that yet, I would urge you to revisit the

      previous chapter and go through the m

      aterials recommended t here t o b

      uild

      a solid sound foundation for screening stocks.

      Use the most interesting set of criteria you have identified to customise

      your screener.in.

      An example fol ows……………...

      An example is snipped here……...screener view with custom configuration.

      This gives us a more holistic view of a stock’s fundamentals than the

      default view throws up.

      The Screens

      Here’s where the ​ ‘rubber meets the road’​. We wil use al the knowledge,

      information, wisdom we gleaned through this journey thus far to come up

      with multiple s

      creener s

      creens (

      queries) t o dig o

      ut g

      ood a

      nd ‘ ​ fit f or p

      urpose​’

      stocks from the stock market universe of choices.

      Further, we wil categorize them under different criteria brackets so we c

      an

      use them a

      ccordingly depending o

      n t he n

      ature of o

      ur o

      wn persona, a

      nd o

      ur

      respective context and goals for investing.

      Always remember, not everything wil suit everyone and there is real y no

      ‘​ one size fit al ​’ like most things in life and nature. To make an effective

      stock pick, we need to understand ourselves, our persona, our risk profile

      and context. We always need to be clear on our goal - ​return expectation

      and time/period of intended holding​. ​The more passive one w

      ants t

      o b

      e,

      the more conservative one should be on both of the aspects above.

      Further, the set of screens a

      nd q

      ueries b

      elow s

      hould b

      e c

      onsidered a good

      starting point to go ahead - experiment, play around, try o

      ut a

      nd c

      ustomise

      it for your own purpose. There i s r

      eal y n

      o ‘ holy g

      rail’ of s

      creener q

      uery t hat

      is ‘guaranteed’ to work under any context. If that were so, most market

      participants would be walking-posing “Warren Buffet(s)” just by showing up.

      Please use the queries not as a ‘holy grail’ or epitome of perfection, b

      ut a

      s

      a starting point to tickle your curiosity to dig, learn further and build a

      sustainable strategy.

      Another empirical suggestion to that e

      nd - o

      ne d

      oes ​n

      ot h

      ave t o put i n t ons

      of money into a testing model to gauge or help you measure the returns

      and efficacy of an approach. Use a customised query - just al ocate a

      smal testing amount into your chosen candidates based on the query

      results and characteristics you seek and let market provide you ‘​rich

      feedback​’ which you can use to adapt and rework.

      This keeps i t s

      imple -

      t his k

      eeps it evolving, p

      rogressive a

      nd a

      daptive. -

      t his

      keeps it humble.

      Tip: Use these screener queries as a ​ starting point​. Modify, tweak,

      adapt them as you deem fit and gain experience and feedback from

      the market.

      Growth oriented screens

      Rationale:

      These screens look p

      rimarily f or ‘ growth’ - t hat i s i ncreased o

      r c

      ompounded

      Profit, Sales, Margins, E

      PS e

      tc. o

      ver y

      ears o

      r q

      uarter o

      r YoY (

      year o

      n y

      ear)

      or QoQ (Quarter on Quarter) basis.

      Since, markets general y reward growth - especial y recent growth, one

      could look to find ‘in-vogue’, ‘in-momentum’, ‘in-focus’ stock candidates in

      the results. This could be used to invest in such candidates for a shorter

      time-frame or til such a time as the growth is a

      ctual y o

      bserved u

      nder t heir

      quarterly numbers churned out every quarter.

      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      1) Profitable stocks - recent periods

      Summary: Identify companies that have turned out healthy ​Profits and

      Margins​ in recent year(s) and quarter(s).

      Net profit > Net Profit last year AND

      Net profit > Net Profit preceding year AND

      Net Profit latest quarter > Net Profit preceding quarter AND

      Net Profit latest quarter > Net Profit preceding year quarter AND

      Net Profit preceding quarter > Net profit 2quarters back AND

      Net profit 2quarters back > Net profit 3quarters back AND

      QoQ Profits > 10 AND

      YOY Quarterly profit growth > 10 AND

      Profit growth > Profit growth 3Years AND

      OPM > OPM last year AND

      OPM > OPM preceding year AND

      OPM latest quarter > OPM preceding quarter AND

      OPM latest quarter > OPM preceding year quarter AND

      NPM latest quarter > NPM preceding quarter AND

      NPM latest quarter > NPM preceding year quarter

      Highlights:

      This screen uses Yearly and Quarterly Profits and Margins

      (both Operating ie OPM and Net ie NPM) to screen for good matching

      stocks.

      2) ​Growing in both Sales and Profit in recent periods.

      Summary: Identify companies that have turned out healthy ​Profits​, ​Sales

      and ​Margins​ in recent year(s) and quarter(s).

      Here, we add Sales figures i nto t he m

      ix w

      hen compared t o S

      creen 1

      ). This

      method is termed ‘progressive screening’ where y
    ou increase the

      ask/demand in terms of quality and quantity

      Net profit > Net Profit last year AND

      Net profit > Net Profit preceding year AND

      Net Profit latest quarter > Net Profit preceding quarter AND

      Net Profit preceding quarter > Net profit 2quarters back AND

      Net profit 2quarters back > Net profit 3quarters back AND

      Sales > Sales last year AND

      Sales > Sales preceding year AND

      Sales latest quarter > Sales preceding quarter AND

      Sales preceding quarter > Sales 2quarters back AND

      Sales 2quarters back > Sales 3quarters back AND

      QoQ Sales > 10 AND

      QoQ Profits > 10 AND

      YOY Quarterly sales growth > 10 AND

      YOY Quarterly profit growth > 10 AND

      Profit growth > 10 AND

      Sales growth > 10

      Highlights: This screen uses Yearly and Quarterly Profits, Sales and

      Margins (both Operating ie OPM and Net ie NPM) to screen for suitable

      stocks.

      3) ​Historical and present Profit and Sales growing at and above 10%

      Summary: Identify companies that have turned out greater than 10%

     


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