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    Mining Precious Gems


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      #​Mining Precious Gems

      Screening methodologies for profitable stocks in the

      Indian stock market

      Author: Vinod Sreedharan

      About the author

      I am a ful -time stock market investor and trader who is very passionate

      about stock markets and equities. The whole human psychology and

      behavioural aspects of economics that drive the ups and downs of stock

      and market movements real y inspires me.

      I believe that to have a sustained success in the stock market irrespective

      of any methodology, o

      ne n

      eeds to b

      uild a

      p

      ersona t hat t hrives o

      n r

      elentless

      and constant learning. In other words, you have got to be a humble and

      lifelong learner. This, perhaps, is the only ‘​ open secret’ that comes across

      as consistent among al the great and wise investors who ever walked

      planet Earth.

      Beyond this, in my experience, there does not seem to be any perfect

      recipe that works al the time in selecting winning stocks. We see many

      articles, books, posts that claim to teach the so cal ed “​ Secrets​” of stock

      picking. But once a secret is let out, it no longer remains a secret!! The

      market is a ​ quick evolving ‘creature’ that aggressively adapts itself to

      negate the advantages of possessing these so cal ed arguably eternal

      ‘secrets’.

      For these reasons, I find the best hedge (or edge) an average regular

      investor could have is to build a disciplined, unbiased, objective and

      focussed approach to selecting stocks. An approach that can be adapted,

      modified and tweaked to accommodate various factors. One that would

      adapt nimbly t o changes t hat k

      eep occuring on m

      acros o

      r politico-economic

      circumstances that affects markets. One that adapts to proactive and

      reactive market dynamics.

      To that end - this book is an ode to learning, an ode to using screeners a

      s

      one way to inculcate disciplined stock market picking. A strategy that is

      customisable, adaptable, amenable to feedback. This k

      ind o

      f m

      ethodology,

      keeps us - the investors - grounded, a

      gile a

      nd a

      lways l earning, e

      ven a

      s w

      e

      see results and/or reap profits from our picking.

      Remember this - “​ there are real y no failures, there is only feedback” ​. So,

      stay positive, humble and keep learning. Focus on the process and the

      personality, the persistence and the passion - results we desire wil fol ow

      in due course. When a process (vs fluke) drives the outcomes for most

      part, we give lady luck the best chance to play on our side.

      Happy investing!

      Thank you - Vinod Sreedharan

      < ​vinod.sreedharan.author@gmail.com​ >

      Gratitude

      Dedicated to life changing personality traits - “​ Passion, Persistence,

      Purpose, Positivity​” and the wil to be a relentless, humble, sincere lifelong

      reader and learner!

      Table of Contents

      1. Introduction

      2. Screener.in

      3. The Fundamentals

      4. Customizing screener.in

      5. The Screens

      6. Conclusion

      Introduction

      This book is an effort to encourage and highlight the use of screeners to

      have a “bottom-up” approach for effective and o

      ptimized s

      tock s

      election. It

      aims to help the readers build a screener based stock selection amidst al

      the choices of listed stocks in the Indian stock market. Further, the core

      emphasis wil be on using ​ screener.in and significant methodologies and

      paradigms that can be applied to build effective queries (aka screens)

      using ​ screener.in

      The ‘Why’ for Screeners

      Screening the market for prospective stocks is by far the most disciplined,

      dis-passionate and effective way to find good stock investment ideas.

      Typical y, we look at stocks based on what we see and hear - analyst

      reports, social media and other ‘tips and recommendations’, television and

      media news, periodicals and broadcasts, friends and relatives’ favourite

      lists et al. No matter which method is engaged in lining up the stocks of

      interest to us, screening gives us a dispassionate, objective, relatively

      less-biased option to verify, round up, enlist and cross-check stocks of

      interest.

      Screening for stocks is also a direct by-product being very correlated and

      in-line with the age of computers and technology. Today, algorithms can

      quickly run on the background and provide enriched data as a response t o

      ‘smart’​ querying.

      However good one is at reading financial reports, annual reports, business

      journals, analyst stories and thereby deciphering and interpreting business

      prospects, screening helps you sense and dig into smart opportunities in a

      much rapid, disciplined, objective, relaxed method.

      Thus, screeners are immensely valuable once you learn, roundup and

      practice the ‘criteria set’ that matters to your investing methodology and

      investing persona. More information on the prospective ‘criteria set’ and

      more on an ‘investing persona’ wil come up in further chapters going

      ahead.

      The ‘What’ for Screeners

      If you are asking or just thinking aloud - “What are screeners(?)”, let’s do

      some de-mystification.

      Screeners are essential y smart stock querying tools. The way screeners

      work is pretty simple and straightforward. Through a screener, we ask the

      system to search through a database and identify stocks that match a set

      of specified criteria. The criteria is a set of ‘popular’ or standard stock

      fundamental (and/or technical) characteristic(s) that we find appealing or

      al uring. The characteristic could be based on a numerical or logical

      comparison (ie. greater than, lesser than equal to, <this> AND <that>,

      <this> OR <that> etc). A col ection of this criteria characteristic as a set is

      cal ed a ‘screen’.

      The results of such a screen would be the specific list of stocks t hat m

      atch

      and fit the specified criteria. The result could be a smal number if the

      criteria s

      et i s v

      ery n

      iche a

      nd/or e

      xtreme / strict. In the s

      ame v

      ein, i t c

      ould be

      a large number if the criteria set is relaxed, very basic or generic.

      In summary, we put in a criteria set into the screener utility to query the

      stock market to get us a list of stocks that fit nicely and that match into t he

      specified criteria characteristic set.

      The ‘Who’ & ‘When’ for Screeners

      ● Who exactly are
    screeners for?

      ● What kind of users or stock market participants are screeners meant

      for?

      ● What level of expertise is needed to use them?

      ● When does anyone use them?

      These must be the next set of curious queries that need answers, aren’t

      they! Wel , here goes…

      Screeners are meant real y for everyone and anyone interested in stocks

      and the stock market in any form and timeframe. The screening paradigm

      is very purposeful in helping a below average performing stock market

      participant to prospectively improve their odds of better and superior

      potential return yield. If used wel , based on practice, feedback and

      adapting - the screeners can help raise our game and avoid being gul ible

      to al s

      orts o

      f s

      tock m

      arket ‘ wisdom generalities’, w

      hich are p

      retty u

      nhelpful,

      sub-optimal and impractical in real world investing.

      In summary, screeners can be used by al stock market participants

      irrespective of their time in, experience of and knowledge about the stock

      markets. Of course, like most things in life, the yield might vary from

      person to person (or case to case) based on multiple variables at play,

      many of which are in an ​individual’s sphere of control and are ​ trainable

      aspects.

      Final y, screeners can be used often and regularly. They ​should be used

      often and regularly. They should in fact be used as the first step in a

      ‘bottom up’ process of evaluating the entire stock market - looking for

      potential opportunities of sustainable return yield generation.

      The ‘Which’ of Screeners

      So which screener d

      o y

      ou u

      se a

      mong t he a

      vailable o

      nes ?

      That’s t he next

      curious question isn’t it! (?)

      Here are some of the choices we have…..let’s peek in.

      1) Screener.in

      Website:​ ​https://www.screener.in/

      Charge: Free ​(** Screener Gold has paid premium features)

      Custom Querying: Yes! Very flexible

      Fundamental/Technical: Pure Fundamental

      Pre-set Screens: Available

      2) Trendlyne

      Website:​ ​https://trendlyne.com/stock-screeners/

      Charge: Basic is Free / Paid for Advanced/Expert features

      Custom Querying: Yes! Very flexible

      Fundamental/Technical: Fundamental / Technical (Techno-Funda possible)

      Pre-set Screens: Available

      3) Equitymaster Stock Screener

      Website​: ​https://www.equitymaster.com/research-it/company-info/stock-screener-india.asp

      Charge: Basic is Free

      Custom Querying: Limited via pre-built choices

      Fundamental/Technical: Fundamental

      Pre-set Screens: Available (** preferred choice in this)

      4) Marketsmojo

      Website: ​https://www.marketsmojo.com/mojo/professionalhome

      Charge: Paid

      5) ValueResearch

      Website​: ​https://www.valueresearchstocks.com

      Charge: Paid

      Custom Querying: Via pre-built choices

      Fundamental/Technical: Fundamental

      Pre-set Screens: Available

      -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      There are a few more aside from the above a

      nd t here a

      re others w

      hich a

      re

      more ‘pure’ technical screeners for querying based o

      n s

      tock c

      hart p

      atterns,

      candlesticks and indicators.

      While we avoid getting deep into the likeability and pros/cons o

      f one v

      s t he

      other among these, for the purpose of this book, we wil stick to using

      ‘​screener.in​’ - the free version.

      Screener.in

      Thus far, we covered the [ ​‘What’, ‘Why’, ‘Which’, ‘When’, ‘Who’ ​] of

      screeners and screening.

      This section of the book is about the screener.in website/tool and its usage.

      So, we have reached the ​‘How’​ of screeners here.

      I am sure some of us are now reasonably curious (even convinced!) that

      screeners are very useful and we want to go ahead and try them out. In

      that, we wil use the free version of screener.in as our go-to screener for

      the rest of this book.

      Let us go through some of the basic steps of screener.in usage and some

      of its core aspects that are useful to know Day-one.

      Browsing through screener.in

      1) Using your favourite browser, go to ​www.screener.in

      2) The first thing to-do is to create a user login for ourselves. Use the

      login tab on the main page for this. Then u

      se t he ‘ Register f or free’ o

      ption

      to create a user login/password for yourself.

      3) Once logged in, you get the main logged in page.

      4) There is an option for issuing a ‘custom query’ at the bottom left of this

      page

      5) ​The Guide

      https://www.screener.in/guides/creating-screens/

      This is must-read. Spending 5-10 minutes on this article wil give you a

      good overview on how to create screens at a high level.

      At this time, I would recommend that you spend some time going through

      this ‘creating screens’ page.

      Once you complete this activity, you wil now have a clear picture of:

      a) Creating/Building out a new query

      b) Customisation of options in the column display

      c) Saving the custom query screen

      d) Setting alerts

      6) In the ‘Company Search’ option on the main screener page, we can

      search for any stock we are interested in. I use the example of ‘Infosys’

      here to il ustrate:

      The result for the company/stock searched for are:

      a) A basic set of fundamental stock parameters (customisable by the

      user)

      b) A line chart of stock price performance (And volume) over multiple

      periods that can be selected by the user

      c) Pros / Cons of the company/stock under view

      d) Peer Comparison in the sector

      e) Quarterly Results figures

      f) Annual Profit and Loss figures

      g) Balance Sheet numbers

      h) Cash Flows details

      i) Other info - Recent Announcements, Annual Reports, Credit Ratings

      One interesting piece of information can be viewed just below the Profit &

      Loss section that highlights the periodic stock performance on the most

      discussed and sought after fundamental parameters.

      The above covers the basic usage of screener.in to screen stocks.

      A few ‘advanced user’ custom configuration options that could also be

      useful is discussed in a later chapter.

      The Fundamentals

      Screeners, much like any other data and analytics tools around, work on

      the ‘​ garbage in - garbage out​’ paradigm. The results you g

      et o

      n a

      ny q

      uery

      based s

      ystem w

      il m

      ost l ikely be in c

      ongruence w

      ith
    t he q

      uality a

      nd intent o

      f

      the user specified criteria-set in the query employed.

      The above a

      spect b

      eing the f ulcrum a

      nd b

      ottomline -

      a

      n

      ecessary a

      spect o

      f

      effect screening is a sound hold on basics of “Stock Fundamentals”. In

      that, knowing ‘ what i s g

      ood’ a

      nd h

      ence w

      e w

      ant more o

      f it, and ‘ what i s n

      ot

      good’ and hence we want less or none of it - is very critical to effective

      screening for stocks.

      One other aspect where this would prove critical is - broad based generic

      queries wil lead to a huge number of results that is simply impractical and

      not useful. So, essential y o

      nce s

      uch results a

      re o

      bserved, i t i s i mportant t o

      further fine-tune and increase the expectation of the ‘ask’ as far as the

      screener query is concerned. This wil help eliminate noise and reach the

      real core set of a

      s

      mal n

      umber of s

     


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