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    US-China Relations (3rd Ed)

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    cy used successfully by President Nixon and National Security Adviser Kis-

      singer in early interaction with China. Their approach allowed for very little

      consultation with Congress, key US allies, or the Taiwan government regard-

      ing the conditions and timing of the 1978 normalization agreement. In

      contrast to general US congressional, media, and popular support for the

      surprise Nixon opening to China, President Carter and his aides clearly were

      less successful in winning US domestic support for their initiatives. Many in

      Congress were satisfied with the stasis that developed in US-PRC-ROC rela-

      tions in the mid-1970s and unconvinced that the United States had a strategic

      or other need to pay the price of breaking a US defense treaty and other

      official ties with a loyal government in Taiwan for the sake of formalizing

      already existing relations with the PRC. Bipartisan majorities in Congress

      resisted the president’s initiatives and passed laws, notably the Taiwan Rela-

      tions Act (TRA), that tied the hands of the administration on Taiwan and

      other issues. 42

      The Taiwan Relations Act was passed by Congress in March 1979 and

      signed by President Carter on April 10, 1979. The initial draft of the legisla-

      tion was proposed by the Carter administration to govern US relations with

      Taiwan once official US ties were ended in 1979. Congress rewrote the

      legislation, adding or strengthening provisions on US arms sales, economic

      relations, human rights, congressional oversight, and opposition to threats

      and use of force. Treating Taiwan as a separate entity that would continue to

      receive US military and other support, the law appeared to contradict the US

      76

      Chapter 4

      stance in the US-PRC communiqué of 1978 establishing official US-PRC

      relations. Subsequently, Chinese and Taiwan officials and their supporters in

      the United States competed to incline US policy toward the commitments in

      the US-PRC communiqué or the commitments in the TRA. US policy usual-

      ly supported both, though it sometimes seemed more supportive of one set of

      commitments than the other. 43

      Running against President Carter in 1980, California Governor Ronald

      Reagan criticized Carter’s handling of Taiwan. Asserting for a time that he

      would restore official relations with Taipei, Reagan later backed away from

      this stance but still claimed he would base his policy on the Taiwan Relations

      Act. The Chinese government put heavy pressure on the Reagan administra-

      tion, threatening serious deterioration in relations over various issues but

      especially continuing US arms sales to Taiwan. 44

      Viewing close China-US relations as a key element in US strategy against

      the Soviet Union, Secretary of State Alexander Haig led those in the Reagan

      administration who favored maintaining close China-US relations and op-

      posed US arms sales to Taiwan that might provoke China. For a year and a

      half, Haig and his supporters were successful in leading US efforts to accom-

      modate PRC concerns over Taiwan, especially regarding US arms sales to

      the ROC, in the interest of fostering closer US-China cooperation against the

      Soviet Union. The United States ultimately signed with China the August 17,

      1982, communiqué. In the communiqué, the United States agreed gradually

      to diminish arms sales, and China agreed it would seek peaceful reunification

      of Taiwan with the mainland. Subsequent developments showed that the

      vague agreement was subject to varying interpretations. President Reagan

      registered private reservations about the agreement, and his administration

      also took steps to reassure Taiwan’s leader of continued US support. 45

      Looking back at the first decade of opening and developing US-China

      contacts leading to the normalization of relations, prevailing assessments

      follow a pattern that seems consistent with the perspective of realism in IR

      theory. They show a strong tendency on the part of US leaders to focus on

      relations with China as the key element in a new US approach to East Asian

      and world affairs. The war in Vietnam, the growing challenge of an expand-

      ing Soviet Union, the seeming decline in US power and influence in East

      Asian and world affairs, and major US internal disruptions and weaknesses

      seemed to support emphasis on a new US approach to China with important

      benefits for US foreign policy and other interests. US leadership attention

      focused on doing what was needed to advance the new China relationship

      and gave secondary attention to long-standing US allies and other close

      relationships in East Asia or manipulated them in ways that would accord

      with the China-first emphasis in US policy. Emblematic of this trend, Nix-

      on’s surprise announcement in July 1971 that he would visit China was so

      shocking and disturbing to the long-standing and more conservative China

      Rapprochement and Normalization

      77

      policy of the government of Prime Minister Eisaku Sato of Japan that it

      brought down the Japanese government. Available scholarship shows that

      Nixon deliberately withheld information of the American shift so he could

      “stick it to Japan” and show US frustration with Japan’s trade and economic

      policies working against US interests. 46

      The US emphasis on China came with significant costs for the United

      States and US interests, though scholarship tends to depict the benefits of the US approach as justifying the costs. 47 Notably, US leaders came to overesti-mate the power, influence, and utility of China in assisting US efforts to

      withdraw from Vietnam and to shore up international opposition to Soviet

      expansion. By so doing, they gave advantage to China in negotiations over

      contentious US-China issues regarding Taiwan and other disputes. Seeking

      sometimes unattainable advantages from improved relations with China, US

      leaders sacrificed relations with an ally, Taiwan, and treated relations with

      Japan and other Asian allies and associates in ways that subordinated those

      relations to US interests in improving relations with China. They also sacri-

      ficed attention to those US values and interests in Asian and world affairs

      that were inconsistent with a pragmatic pursuit of better ties with China.

      The elitist approach of US leaders followed a pattern of secret diplomacy

      and deal making that undermined the US administration’s credibility with the

      Congress and significant segments of the US media and public opinion. It

      also undermined the constitutionally mandated shared powers the executive

      and legislative branches hold in the conduct of US foreign policy. This

      experience established an atmosphere of suspicion and cynicism in American

      domestic politics over China policy and set the stage for often bitter and

      debilitating fights in US domestic politics over China policy in ensuing years

      that on balance are seen not to serve the overall national interests of the

      United States. 48

      The Pan-Asian Approach of George Shultz

      and Chinese Accommodation

      Amid continued strong Chinese pressure tactics on a wide range of US-China

      disputes, US policy shifted with Haig’s resignation in 1982 and the appoint-

      ment of George Shultz as se
    cretary of state. Reagan administration officers

      who were at odds with Haig’s emphasis on the need for a solicitous US

      approach to China came to the fore. They were led by Paul Wolfowitz, who

      was chosen by Shultz as assistant secretary of state for East Asian affairs;

      Richard Armitage, the senior Defense Department officer managing relations

      with China and East Asia; and Gaston Sigur, the senior National Security

      Council staff aide on Asian affairs and later assistant secretary of state for

      East Asian affairs. While officers who had backed Haig’s pro-China slant

      were transferred from authority over China policy, the new US leadership

      78

      Chapter 4

      contingent with responsibility for East Asian affairs shifted US policy toward

      a less solicitous and accommodating stance toward China, while giving much

      higher priority to US relations with Japan, as well as other US allies and

      friends in East Asia. There was less emphasis on China’s strategic impor-

      tance to the United States in American competition with the Soviet Union,

      and there was less concern among US policy makers about China possibly

      downgrading relations over Taiwan and other disputes. 49

      The scholarship on the US opening to China that began in the Nixon

      administration, reviewed above, focuses on powerful strategic and domestic

      imperatives that drove the United States and China to cooperate in a prag-

      matic search for advantage for their respective national and leadership inter-

      ests. It underlines the primacy of China in American foreign policy in Asia

      while relations with Japan and other East Asian allies and friends remained

      secondary and were sometimes viewed as declining assets or liabilities. 50

      Some scholars, often using a cost-benefit analysis seen in the realist

      school of thought, discern an important shift in US strategy toward China and

      in East Asia more broadly beginning in 1982. 51 The reevaluation of US

      policy toward China under Secretary of State Shultz is seen to bring to power

      officials who opposed the high priority on China in US strategy toward East

      Asia and the world, and who gave much greater importance to US relations

      with Japan and other US allies in securing US interests amid prevailing

      conditions. The reevaluation on the whole is depicted as working to the

      advantage of the United States. It notably is seen to have added dimensions

      related to a changing balance of forces affecting Chinese security and other

      interests in Asian and world affairs, which prompted heretofore demanding

      Chinese leaders to reduce pressures on the United States for concessions on

      Taiwan and other disputed issues. The changes in Chinese policy helped

      open the way for several years of comparatively smooth US-China relations

      after a period of considerable discord in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

      Other scholars also employ cost-benefit assessments, which are seen in

      the realist school of thought to explain the improvement in US-China rela-

      tions at the time through analyses focused on the dynamics of US-China

      relations. 52 They discern US compromises and accommodations in negotiations and relations with China that assuaged Chinese demands and met Chi-

      nese interests over Taiwan and other issues. They tend to avoid analysis of

      how any shift in emphasis in US policy away from a focus on China and

      toward a greater emphasis on Japan and the East Asian region might have

      altered Chinese calculations and the overall dynamic in US interaction with

      China.

      The analysis in the assessment detailed below supports the former view. It

      shows that the Chinese leaders grudgingly adjusted to the new US stance,

      viewing their interests best served by less pressure and more positive initia-

      tives to the Reagan administration, seen especially in their warm welcome

      Rapprochement and Normalization

      79

      for the US president on his visit to China in 1984. Cooperative Chinese

      relations with the United States were critically important to the Chinese

      leadership in maintaining Chinese security in the face of continuing pressure

      from the Soviet Union and in sustaining the flow of aid, investment, and

      trade essential to the economic development and modernization underway in

      China—the linchpin of the Chinese Communist leadership’s plans for sus-

      taining its rule in China. Meanwhile, the Reagan leadership learned not to

      confront important Chinese interests over issues like Taiwan in overt and

      egregious ways, seeking to continue US military and other support for Tai-

      wan in ways less likely to provoke strong Chinese reaction. Thus, the accom-

      modations that characterized US-China relations in Reagan’s second term in

      office were mutual, but they involved significant Chinese adjustments and

      changes influenced by the new posture toward China undertaken by Secre-

      tary of State Shultz and his colleagues.

      In this author’s assessment, the scholarship that portrays the improvement

      in US-China relations at that time as largely based on the dynamics of US-

      China relations seems too narrowly focused. In this scholarship, the United

      States is seen to make compromises in ways that accommodate Chinese

      interests and thus allow for smoother US-China relations. By limiting the

      focus to the dynamics of US-China ties, this scholarship seems to miss the

      importance of the shift in US emphasis during the tenure of George Shultz.

      Overall, that shift seems to have significantly enhanced US power and lever-

      age over China in negotiations over Taiwan and other disputes and com-

      pelled China to make concessions on its part in order to ensure a positive

      relationship with the United States advantageous to Chinese interests. This

      changed dynamic, with the United States in a more commanding position

      vis-à-vis China, also was much more acceptable to congressional members,

      media, and others in US politics that had been alienated by the secrecy and

      perceived excessive US deference to China in the previous decade. It made

      executive-congressional relations over China policy much smoother than in

      the previous six years.

      China’s Shifting Strategic Calculus and the Importance

      of the United States

      The significance of the shifts in American policy toward China and Asia

      undertaken during the tenure of Secretary Shultz and under the direction of

      such influential US officials as Wolfowitz, Armitage, and Sigur are shown

      below to be important for China’s broader international calculations, influ-

      encing its approach toward the United States. Chinese foreign policy was

      strongly influenced by Chinese assessments in line with realist IR theory of

      the relative power and influence of the Soviet Union and the United States

      and the effects these had on key Chinese interests of security and develop-

      80

      Chapter 4

      ment. Throughout much of the 1970s, China had been more vocal than the

      United States in warning of the dangers of expansion by the Soviet Union,

      seen as the greatest threat to China’s security and integrity. Chinese officials and commentary depicted Soviet efforts to contain China in Asia through its

      military buildup and advanced nuclear ballistic missile depl
    oyments along

      the Sino-Soviet border, its deployments of mobile mechanized divisions in

      Mongolia, its stepped-up naval activity in the western Pacific along the Chi-

      na coast, its military presence in Vietnam, including active use of formerly

      US naval and air base facilities, and its ever-closer military relationship with India and growing involvement with and eventual invasion of Afghanistan.

      These Soviet actions were seen as part of a wider expansion of Soviet power

      and influence that China judged as needing to be countered by a united

      international front including China and led by the United States. 53

      For much of the 1970s, particularly after the resignation of President

      Nixon, Chinese officials and commentary saw the United States vacillate

      between a tough line toward the USSR and an approach seeking détente and

      accommodation with Moscow. Concern over US resolve toward Moscow

      saw China criticize Secretary of State Henry Kissinger for being too soft

      toward Moscow during the Ford administration, favoring instead the harder

      line advocated by Defense Secretary James Schlesinger. Carter administra-

      tion officials like UN envoy Andrew Young, who took a moderate view

      toward Soviet-backed Cuban troop deployments and other Soviet expansion

      in Africa, were roundly criticized in Chinese media. More cautious official

      commentary registered reservations about Secretary of State Cyrus Vance’s

      approach in seeking arms limitation talks with Moscow, while Chinese offi-

      cials and commentary registered approval of National Security Advisor Brze-

      zinski’s tough anti-Soviet stance. 54

      Over time, and especially after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in late

      1979, Chinese leaders began to recalculate the balance of forces affecting

      their interests and their respective approaches to the Soviet Union and the

      United States. The previous perceived danger that the United States would

      “appease” the Soviet Union and thereby allow Moscow to direct its pressure

      against China now appeared remote. Carter’s last year in office and Reagan’s

      initial stance toward the USSR saw a large increase in US defense spending

      and military preparations. Closely allied with the United States, European

     


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