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    Who Owns the Future?

    Page 37
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      Thanks to the musical instrument makers and dealers of Berkeley, Seattle, New York City, and London for providing delightful opportunities for procrastination.

      © JONATHAN SPRAGUE

      Jaron Lanier is a computer scientist and musician, best known for his work in virtual reality research. He coined and popularized the term, and he received a Lifetime Career Award from the IEEE in 2009 for his contributions to the field. Time named him as one of the “Time 100” in 2010. A profile in Wired described him as “the first technology figure to cross over to pop-culture stardom.” Lanier and friends co-created start-ups that are now parts of Oracle, Adobe, and Google. He has received multiple honorary PhDs and other honors. Lanier also writes orchestral music and plays a large variety of rare acoustic musical instruments. He is currently at work with colleagues at Microsoft Research on intriguing unannounced projects.

      www.jaronlanier.com

      FORE MORE ON THIS AUTHOR: Authors.SimonandSchuster.com/Jaron-Lanier

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      SimonandSchuster.com

      Also by Jaron Lanier

      You Are Not a Gadget: A Manifesto

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      Notes

      First Interlude: Ancient Anticipation of the Singularity

      1. Aristotle, Politics, approx. 350 BC, translated by Benjamin Jowett.

      Chapter 3. Money As Seen Through One Computer Scientist’s Eyes

      1. Matthew Yglesias, “Nobody Knows Where Economic Growth Comes From,” Slate, posted August 6, 2012.

      2. http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2010/11/19/how-many-olympic-sized-swimming-pools-can-we-fill-with-billionaire-gold/.

      Chapter 4. The Ad Hoc Construction of Mass Dignity

      1. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/28/technology/personaltech/spotify-unshackles-online-music-david-pogue.html.

      Chapter 6. The Specter of the Perfect Investment

      1. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/30/business/media/byliner-takes-buzz-bissingers-e-book-off-amazon.html.

      2. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/08/magazine/08FOB-medium-t.html.

      3. http://www.informationweek.com/news/software/bi/240002737.

      4. http://flightfox.com/about.

      5. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/30/technology/flightfox-lets-the-crowd-find-the-best-airfares.html.

      6. http://www.firstround.com/our_focus/.

      Chapter 7. Some Pioneering Siren Servers

      1. See Charles Fishman, The Wal-Mart Effect: How the World’s Most Powerful Company Really Works—and How It’s Transforming the American Economy (New York: Penguin Press, 2006), or Anthony Bianco, Wal-Mart: The Bully of Bentonville: How the High Cost of Everyday Low Prices Is Hurting America (New York: Currency Doubleday, 2007).

      Second Interlude: (A Parody): If Life Gives You EULAs, Make Lemonade

      1. http://nation.foxnews.com/fox-friends/2012/07/24/lemonade-stand-girls-obama-we-built-our-business.

      2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_Performance_Computing_Act_of_1991.

      3. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/End-user_license_agreement.

      Chapter 9. From Above: Misusing Big Data to Become Ridiculous

      1. http://online.wsj.com/public/page/what-they-know-digital-privacy.html.

      2. https://www.eff.org/issues/privacy/.

      3. http://purplebox.ghostery.com/?p=1016022352.

      4. http://purplebox.ghostery.com/?p=948639073.

      5. http://www.cnn.com/2012/02/29/tech/web/protect-privacy-google/index.html.

      6. http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/02/google-is-top-tracker-of-surfers-in-study/.

      7. www.nytimes.com/2012/02/05/opinion/sunday/facebook-is-using-you.html.

      8. www.nytimes.com/2012/06/17/technology/acxiom-the-quiet-giant-of-consumer-database-marketing.html.

      9. www.nytimes.com/2012/08/19/business/electronic-scores-rank-consumers-by-potential-value.html.

      10. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/03/technology/personaltech/how-to-muddy-your-tracks-on-the-internet.html.

      11. http://www.makeuseof.com/tag/adblock-noscript-ghostery-trifecta-evil-opinion/.

      12. http://www.google.org/flutrends/.

      13. http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2001/akerlof-article.html.

      14. http://www.carfax.com/entry.cfx.

      Third Interlude: Modernity Conceives the Future

      1. 2012, directed by Mathieu Roy and Harold Crooks.

      2. Ronald Wright, A Short History of Progress (New York: Carroll & Graf, 2005).

      3. http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2011/12/boxing-robots-of-the-1930s.

      4. http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/robot_invasion/2011/09/will_robots_steal_your_job.html.

      Chapter 12. Story Lost

      1. Aleksandar Hemon, “Beyond the Matrix,” New Yorker, September 10, 2012.

      Chapter 13. Coercion on Autopilot: Specialized Network Effects

      1. Daniel Kahneman has written foundational works on this topic. His book Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2011) is a primary resource. Another relevant book is Dan Ariely’s Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions (New York: HarperCollins, 2008).

      2. http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/yelp-is-sued-after-dispute-over-a-review/ http://www.naturalnews.com/034247_Yelpcom_lawsuit.html; http://www.marketingpilgrim.com/2010/03/yelp-sued-for-extortionagain.html; http://pixsym.com/blog/reputation-management/yelp-extortion-the-lawsuits-dismissed-are-they-back-at-it-in-2012.

      3. http://www.pcworld.com/article/255471/want_your_facebook_status_seen_pay_up.html.

      4. http://motherboard.vice.com/2011/4/12/on-badoo-the-social-network-for-sex-users-pay-to-get-noticed-and-to-get-other-things-too.

      Chapter 14. Obscuring the Human Element

      1. http://www.salon.com/2006/07/24/turks_3/.

      2. http://news.cnet.com/8301-10784_3-9782813-7.html.

      3. http://waxy.org/2008/11/the_faces_of_mechanical_turk/.

      4. http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/study_40_of_new_mechanical_turkers_work_requests_a.php.

      Chapter 15. Story Found

      1. http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/technology/2012/09/square_jack_dorsey_s_payments_firm_is_silicon_valley_s_next_great_company_.html.

      2. http://techcrunch.com/tag/deadpool/.

      3. http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/29/google-wave-becomes-a-bit-more-public/.

      4. http://techcrunch.com/2012/02/01/deadpool-alert-google-wave-goes-read-only/.

      Fifth Interlude: The Wise Old Man in the Clouds

      1. http://www.facebook.com/Jesuits/posts/143094992485238.

      Chapter 16. Complaint Is Not Enough

      1. http://www.usnews.com/opinion/mzuckerman/articles/2012/04/06/mort-zuckerman-no-easy-solutions-for-big-money-in-politics.

      2. http://sloanreview.mit.edu/improvisations/2012/06/20/big-data-and-the-u-s-presidential-campaign/

      Sixth Interlude: The Pocket Protector in the Saffron Robe

      1. “The Trickster Guru,” in The Essential Alan Watts (Berkeley, CA: Celestial Arts, 1977).

      2. http://cafegratitude.com/menu.

      3. http://www.eastbayexpress.com/ebx/i-am-annoyed-and-disappointed/Content?oid=1370662.

      Chapter 18. First Thought, Best Thought

      1. Kevin Kelly in his Technium blog, January 31, 2008.

      Chapter 20. We Need to Do Better than Ad Hoc Levees

      1. http://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-data-team/rethinking-information-diversity-in-networks/10150503499618859.

      Chapter 22. Who Will Do What?

      1. http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/technology/2012/05/facebook_ipo_has_social_networking_supplanted_real_innovation_in_silicon_valley_.html.


      Chapter 26. Financial Identity

      1. See Tim Wu’s book The Master Switch (New York: Knopf, 2010).

      Chapter 28. The Interface to Reality

      1. http://www.firstround.com/our_focus/.

      2. http://www.naturalnews.com/036476_smart_meters_hacking_privacy.html.

      Chapter 29. Creepy

      1. See http://www.fellowgeek.com/a-US-security-firm-hacked-by-Anonymous-ix1113.html and http://www.esecurityplanet.com/hackers/panda-security-hacked-lulzsec-is-your-website-safe.html.

      2. http://cs-www.cs.yale.edu/homes/freeman/lifestreams.html.

      3. See http://totalrecallbook.com/.

      Seventh Interlude: Limits Are for Mortals

      1. David Brooks, “The Creative Monopoly,” New York Times, April 23, 2012.

      2. http://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/21169325300/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-4-notes-essay.

      3. http://www.dailydot.com/society/facebook-mourning-jenna-ness-death/.

      4. http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/human_nature/2009/01/night_of_the_living_dad.html.

      5. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/21/tupac-hologram-elvis-presley-marilyn-monroe_n_1818715.html.

      6. A Russian political party has been founded to further this goal. See http://www.gizmag.com/avatar-project-2045/23454/.

      Chapter 31. The Transition

      1. http://www.npr.org/2012/02/22/147261659/gauging-the-reliability-of-facts-on-wikipedia.

      Conclusion. What Is It to Be Remembered?

      1. http://www.wired.com/business/2012/04/ff_klout/.

      Index

      Page numbers in italics refer to illustrations.

      Abraham Lincoln Brigade, 159–60

      absolutism, 45–46

      Abundance humor, 125, 126, 128, 215–16

      accidents, 90–92

      accounting, 29–30, 270–71, 274, 337–38, 344–45

      “Act Naturally,” 256

      Acxiom, 109

      ad agencies, 267, 291

      Adobe, 265

      advertising, 14, 20, 24, 42, 66, 81, 107, 109, 114, 129, 154, 169–74, 177, 182, 207, 227, 242, 266–67, 275, 286, 291, 322–24, 347–48, 354, 355

      age waves, 133, 346

      aggregates, 115, 183, 192

      aging population, 97–100, 133, 269, 296n, 346

      agriculture, 17, 24–25, 66n, 132

      air conditioners, 56

      Akerlof, George, 118

      Aldini, Giovanni, 327

      Alger, Horatio, 185, 187

      algorithms, 20, 23n, 48, 75–78, 112, 113, 114–15, 120, 126, 128, 147–48, 155, 167–68, 170, 177, 178, 180, 191–92, 193, 228, 255, 262, 274–75, 306, 326, 356, 365

      alienation, 137

      Allen, Woody, 130

      alternating current (AC), 327

      Amazon, 62, 63, 65, 87, 119, 147–48, 173, 176, 177–78, 182, 187, 222, 246, 271, 349, 350, 352

      ambiguity, 41, 53–54, 155–56

      American Idol, 41

      anarchy, 335–36

      Andreessen, Marc, 357n

      Angry Birds, 242

      anonymity, 172, 248–51, 283–90

      antenimbosia, 42, 48, 338–39

      anticorporatism, 265

      antihuman values, 85

      antitrust laws, 60, 144, 174, 273, 350

      “any” scenario, 158–62, 325

      Apple Computer, 65, 106, 170, 172, 192, 207, 211–13, 222, 223, 229, 241–42, 246, 267, 343, 349, 350

      Apple Macintosh computers, 211, 229

      Apple Store, 349, 350

      apps, 80–82, 104n, 108n, 170, 172, 179, 223, 230, 241–42, 269n, 315, 336, 356, 358

      Arab Spring, 199, 200

      arbitrage, 57

      Arch Records, 161n

      Aristotle, 22–25, 123, 135

      Armageddon, 30

      armies, 24–25

      Arthur, W. Brian, 169n

      artificial hearts, 157–58

      artificial intelligence (AI), 23, 61, 94, 95, 114, 116, 136, 138n, 147, 155, 157, 178, 191, 192–93, 325, 330, 354, 359n

      artificial memory, 35

      art market, 108

      Art of the Long View, The (Schwartz), 214

      ashrams, 213

      assets, 31, 60

      “As We May Think” (Bush), 221n

      asymmetry, 54–55, 61–66, 118, 188, 203, 246–48, 285–88, 291–92, 310

      Athens, 22–25

      atomic bomb, 127

      “attractor nightmare,” 48

      auctions, 170, 286

      aulos, 23n

      austerity, 96, 115, 125, 151, 152, 204, 208

      authenticity, 128–32, 137

      authors, 62n

      automata, 11, 12, 17, 23, 42, 55, 85–86, 90–92, 97–100, 111, 129, 135–36, 155, 157, 162, 260, 261, 269, 296n, 342, 359–60

      automated services, 62, 63, 64, 147–48

      automated trading systems, 74–78, 115

      automation, 7, 85, 123–24, 192, 234, 259, 261, 343

      automobiles, 43, 86, 90–92, 98, 118–19, 125n, 302, 311, 314, 343, 367

      avatar cameras, 265

      avatars, 89n, 265, 283–85

      baby boomers, 97–100, 339, 346

      bailouts, financial, 45, 52, 60, 74–75, 82

      Baird-Murray, Kathleen, 200n

      “Ballad of John Henry, The,” 134–35

      bandwidth, 171–72

      banking, 32–33, 42, 43, 69, 76–78, 151–52, 251, 269n, 289, 345–46

      bankruptcy, 2, 89, 251

      bargains, 64–65, 95–96

      Barlow, John Perry, 353

      Barnes & Noble, 62n, 182

      barter system, 20, 57

      Battlestar Galactica, 137, 138n

      “beach fantasy,” 12–13, 18, 236–37, 331, 366–67

      Beatles, 211, 212, 213

      behavior models, 32, 121, 131, 173–74, 286–87

      behavior modification, 173–74

      Belarus, 136

      belief systems, 139–40

      Bell, Gordon, 313

      bell curve distribution, 39, 39–45, 204, 208, 262, 291–93

      Bell Labs, 94

      Bentham, Jeremy, 308n

      Berners-Lee, Tim, 230

      Bezos, Jeff, 352

      big business, 265–67, 297–98

      big data, 107–40, 150, 151–52, 155, 179, 189, 191–92, 202–4, 265–66, 297–98, 305, 346, 366, 367

      big money, 202–4, 265–67

      billboards, 170, 267, 310

      billing, 171–72, 184–85

      Bing, 181–82

      biodiversity, 146–47

      biological realism, 253–54

      biotechnology, 11–13, 17, 18, 109–10, 162, 330–31

      Bitcoin, 34n

      BitTorrent, 223

      blackmail, 61, 172–73, 207, 273, 314, 316, 322

      Black Monday, 74

      blogs, 118n, 120, 225, 245, 259, 349, 350

      books, 1–2, 62, 63, 65, 113, 182, 192, 193, 246–47, 277–78, 281, 347, 352–60

      bots, 62, 63, 64, 147–48

      brain function, 195–96, 260, 328

      brain scans, 111–12, 218, 367

      Brand, Stewart, 214

      brand advertising, 267

      Brandeis, Louis, 25, 208

      Brazil, 54

      Brooks, David, 326

      Burma, 200n

      Burning Man, 132

      Bush, George H. W., 149

      Bush, Vannevar, 221n

      business data, 112–13, 150, 189

      business plans, 107–8, 117–20, 154, 169–74, 175, 236, 258, 301–2, 344–45

      cached data mirrors, 223

      Cage, John, 212

      California, University of, at Berkeley, 104, 107–8, 111, 172

      call centers, 177n

      Caltech, 94, 184

      Cambridge, Mass., 157–58

      cameras, 2, 10, 89, 265, 309–11, 319

      capital flows, 37, 43–45, 47, 49, 201, 329, 355–56

      capitalism, 11, 16–17, 20, 43–46, 47, 49, 66–67, 79, 208, 243, 246–48, 258, 260–63, 272, 273n, 277, 329

      capital resourc
    es, 86

      “captured” populations, 170–71

      carbon credits, 87, 88, 298–99, 300, 301–3, 314

      cartels, 158

      Catholic Church, 190

      cell phones, 34n, 39, 85, 87, 162, 172, 182n, 192, 229, 269n, 273, 314, 315, 331

      Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), 199–200

      chance, 23n

      change acceleration, 10, 21, 130–33, 136, 193–95, 217

      chaos, 165–66, 273n, 331

      cheating, 120, 335

      Chicago, Ill., 47

      China, 54, 70, 85, 87, 199, 200, 201, 208

      Christianity, 190, 193–94, 293

      Christian Science, 293

      civility, 293–94

      civilization, 123, 255, 300, 311, 336

      civil liberties, 317–24

      classified ads, 177n

      click-through counts, 183, 286, 347

      clothing, 89, 260, 367

      Cloud Atlas, 165

      cloud processors and storage, 11–12, 19, 20, 42, 62, 88, 92, 100, 110, 113, 121, 124n, 144, 146n, 147, 149, 151, 153–54, 168, 203, 209, 245–46, 255, 258, 261–62, 274, 284, 292, 306, 311–13, 326, 338, 347–48, 350, 359

      code, 112, 272

      cognition, 111–12, 195–96, 260, 312–13, 314, 315, 328

      Cold War, 189

      Coleman, Ornette, 353

      collectives, 358–60

      collusion, 65–66, 72, 169–74, 255, 350–51

      Columbia Records, 161n

      commercial rights, 317–24, 347

      commissions, 184

      communications industry, 258

      communism, 136, 153, 291, 344

      compensatory servers, 64

      competition, 42, 60, 81, 143–44, 147, 153, 180, 181, 187–88, 246–48, 326

      complexity, 53–54

      Computer Lib/Dream Machines (Nelson), 229

      computer programmers, 113–14, 123, 286n

      computers:

      artificiality of, 130, 134

      calculations by, 146n, 147–48, 149, 151

      cloud processors and, see cloud processors and storage

      development of, 53, 129–30

      as machines, 22–25, 123, 129–30, 155, 158, 165–66, 178, 191, 193, 195, 248, 257–58, 261, 328

      memory of, 146n

      networks of, see digital networks

      parallel, 147–48, 149, 151

      personal (PCs), 158, 182n, 214, 223, 229

      programming of, 113–14, 120, 123, 157, 180, 193, 248, 272, 286n, 342, 362–63

     


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